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The La Nina continues for now, but the odds of major winter weather in the US go down into December

If La Nina conditions continue, the chances of winter turn less likely as a U.S. forecaster predicts.



That’s according to Reuters. On Thursday, a government weather forecaster for the United States predicted that La Nia was less likely to occur between December 2022 and February 2023 than it was in the current season, which was predicted to have a probability of 86%.

During a La Nia, the equatorial Pacific Ocean experiences abnormally low temperatures.

According to the Climate Prediction Center of the National Weather Service, “while a majority of NMME models suggest that La Nia will transition to ENSO-neutral in January-March 2023,” forecasters are split on this outcome, resulting in equal forecast probabilities for that season.

The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) center defines ENSO-neutral conditions as times when neither El Nino nor La Nina is present. These times typically occur during the changeover between the two weather patterns.

(Kavya Guduru in Bengaluru filed this report, and Mark Porter and David Evans edited it)