The new quarterback in Denver, Russell Wilson, has raised expectations, and the over/under win total for the Broncos at SI Sportsbook is 9.5.
The future markets for the Broncos are become more and more unattractive as high expectations for Russell Wilson and the team in 2022 continue to rise.
The Broncos offense has been lacking consistent play at quarterback since Peyton Manning’s retirement, but with the addition of the veteran quarterback, that problem will be solved. Post-Manning, Denver has struggled mightily, having a dismal 30-51 (.3790) record with only one winning season (2016).
First-year head coach Nathaniel Hackett has been tasked with getting the Broncos back to the postseason for the first time since 2015. Wilson’s ability to recover from his worst throwing season (3,113 yards) in his 10-year NFL career will determine whether or not Denver can make a comeback this season.
Over/Under Win Totals by Division: AFC East: BUF | NE | MIA | NYJ | Division Odds; NFC East: DAL | PHI | WSH | NYG; AFC South: TEN | IND | HOU | JAX; NFC South: TB | NO | ATL | CAR; AFC West: KC | LV | LAC; Division Odds;
Including second-year running back Javonte Williams, and wide receivers Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy, Wilson has a great supporting cast. Wilson has thrown for 315 touchdowns in 158 regular-season NFL games.
Denver signed free agents Randy Gregory and D.J. Jones to bolster their defensive line, which allowed the third fewest points per game (18.9).
The Broncos (+260) at SI Sportsbook are third in the AFC West behind the Chiefs (+160) and the Chargers (+240).
Playing in the NFL’s toughest division, with a quality defense and a multitude of youthful offensive weapons at his disposal, can Wilson lead the team to more victories than the 9.5 predicted at the start of the season?
NFL betting at SI Sportsbook in 2021–2022: 7–10 record; dead last in the AFC West; no postseason appearance.
Futures odds for the AFC West: +260 (Third)
Probability of making the playoffs as an AFC team: +800 (Tied-third)
Future odds on the Super Bowl: +1600 (Tied-eighth)
Improvements of note: Wilson, Russell, Quarterback/Defensive End Defense Tackle Randy Gregory Jones, D.J.
Major Setbacks: TE Bobby Massie, CB Noah Fant, OL Drew Lock, QB Asserts that Kyle Fuller
Some Highly Anticipated Rookies: LB TE Greg Dulcich and NT Nik Bonitto
Summit Meeting Full marks: A+
Is there anything else the Broncos could have done to invigorate their team? The Broncos’ future seems bright after they signed a quarterback who has already made nine Pro Bowls and is still in his prime. The Broncos’ defense also improved greatly, even if Bonitto doesn’t work out. They added a run-stuffing nose tackle in Jones and a legitimate edge rusher in Gregory to complement Bradley Chubb. A Look at the 2022 Denver Broncos Schedule (Chad Jensen)
At Seattle in Week 1
It’s Week 2 and the Texans are on top.
Three Weeks In: 49ers
At the Raiders in Week 4
Team of the Week 5: Colts
The sixth week of the season is on the road against the Chargers.
Jets, Week 7
Jaguars in Week 8 (London)
Until next week, bye
The Titans’ Week 10 away game
11th Week: The Raiders
Panthers away in Week 12
Baltimore Ravens, Week 13
Match of the Week: Chiefs
Cardinals, Week 15
At the Rams in Week 16
Sunday, Week 17 – Away against the Kansas City Chiefs
Chargers, Week 18
After opening the season on the road, Denver will face the Texans as a 10.5-point favorite in their season home opener.
In Week 3, as a 2.5-point home favorite, Denver will face its first real test while hosting Trey Lance and the 49ers. The over/under for San Francisco’s victory total at SI Sportsbook is 9.5, indicating that the oddsmakers believe the squad will finish in the top half of the NFC.
In Week 4, the Broncos will take on Davante Adams and the Raiders in a road game in Las Vegas, where they are a one-point underdog. The Raiders are currently riding a four-game victory run over Denver and have won seven of the previous nine encounters between the two teams dating back to 2018.
On Thursday Night Football during Week 5, Colts quarterback Jonathan Taylor and the visiting team are -3 away underdogs at Denver’s Empower Field. After two exhausting games against the Chiefs and the Titans, Denver faces Indianapolis on a short week.
In Week 6, Denver will be a 3-point underdog when they take on the Chargers on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium. Denver has only won 12 games in the last two seasons, but two of those triumphs came against the team that is currently coached by Justin Herbert. In the last 17 meetings between these two teams, Denver has won 12.
Before their bye week in Week 9, the Broncos face the Jets and the Jaguars, both of whom they should beat.
The Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in Week 7 at home against Zach Wilson and the Jets and 3.5-point favorites in Week 8 away in London to face Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars. Despite having a 0-2 record in London, the Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in preseason betting.
Props for the Quarterback Series: Yards Passed, Touchdown Passes, Tom Brady, Justin Herbert.
After the bye week, Denver will play only once at home (in Week 11 versus the Raiders) before hitting the road three times in a row. The Broncos will travel to play the Titans, Ravens, and Panthers, and the games against the Titans and Ravens are expected to be tougher than the coin-flip point lines that bookmakers have set.
Over the course of the remaining five weeks, the Broncos will play AFC West rival Kansas City twice. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is undefeated in nine games versus the Broncos, and Kansas City has won 13 straight over the division rival. Even while oddsmakers have put Kansas City as 4.5-point home favorites in Week 17’s matchup, look-ahead lines offer an early betting line of ‘pick-em to end their seven-game home losing run to the Chiefs.
For the regular season, Denver’s prediction of 9.5 wins is spot on, as the team is favored in slightly more than half of its games (nine of 17).
Bettors are optimistic that the team will experience its first winning season since 2016 thanks to the addition of Wilson to an offense that already had Sutton, Jeudy, and Williams.
However, there are only five games that have a good chance of becoming wins according to this schedule, and even splitting the AFC West games would only increase the win total to eight. To meet the 9.5-win requirement, the team needs to win at least two of its remaining games against the 49ers, Colts, Titans, Ravens, Cardinals (Week 15), or Rams (Week 16).
Over 9.5 regular season victories: a good bet (-141)
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